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Rusland
Rusland landenbeleid
Beleid vastgesteld op 03 mei 2011
- ILC, bankgarantie, centrale overheidsgarantie (voorwaardelijk)
- Er is een landenplafond van 2000 mln euro van kracht
- Het signaleringsplafond is 1000 mln euro
- - waarvan per 2012-02-29 324 mln euro benut is
Landenklasse: 3
Voor banken: speciale voorwaarden
Banks: special conditions
Rusland landenrapport
Atradius Dutch State Business Economic Research
Country Report last updated 30 March 2011
Country RUSSIA
Political Situation
Stable
Head of state
President Dmitry Medvedev.
Form of government
Government formed by the Party United Russia and non-partisan technocrats, headed by p.m. Vladimir Putin.
Internal Economic Situation
Recovered From Deep Recession
General situation
The Russian economy was severely hit in 2009 by sharply fallen oil prices, the global credit crisis (less access to external financing) and tight domestic credit conditions: real GDP plunged by 7.2%. Recession, illiquidity and fallen asset prices caused cash flow problems in the private sector; smaller corporates and banks (>1000) were especially hurt. Since 2009Q3 economic recovery resulting in a real GDP-growth of 4% in 2010 despite the summer drought that tempered the upswing because of loss in agricultural output (appr. 1/3). The Russian economy is very monopolized with state-controlled giants (Gazprom, Rosneft, Sibneft, etc) or state-loyal private companies (Lukoil, Rusal, etc) that dominate GDP. The opaque executive/judiciary system and widespread corruption/maffia practices have raised concerns about the business environment and property rights and are spoiling the investment climate. After the low mid 2010, inflation is rising (9.5% Febr 2011) and well above CBR-targets (6-7%).
External Economic Situation : Strong
Main sources of foreign exchange
Oil/gas (67%), metals (13%), machinery (5%).
Main foreign markets
EEC’s (37%), EU (35%), Asia (12%), USA (5%).
Main expenses of foreign exchange
Capital goods (43%), food (18%), chemicals (17%).
Balance of payments
External accounts reflect Russia’s strong energy position: (very) large trade/current account surpluses in combination with large deficits on the capital account (incoming FDI less outgoing (non) residential capital). After a break in 2009 reserves have risen further and the rouble exchange rate has recovered thanks to recovering oil prices this year.