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Lebanon
Lebanon country policy
Policy established 29 November 2006
- Case-by-case assessment
- The country ceiling is 500 mln euro
- Early warning signal 150 mln euro
- - of which was used as at 2012-02-29 0 mln euro
Country class: 7
Risicoduur maximaal 36 maanden, waarvan maximaal 24 maanden krediet
Onherroepelijk accreditief, bankgarantie, garantie Centrale bank (onvoorwaardelijk)
Maximum risk period 36 months, of which 24 months credit risk
ILC, commercial bank or central bank g'tee
Lebanon country facts
Atradius DSB Economic Research
Country Report last updated January 17th, 2012
Country : LEBANON
Political Situation
Very Complicated Power Structure
Head of state
President general Michel Suleiman.
Form of government
Hizbullah-backed government of p.m. Najib Mikati, with a majority of 16 out of 30 seats in parliament.
Internal Economic Situation
High Public Debt Burden
General situation
Lebanon has a services-oriented economy vulnerable to political instability in the country/region. In turbulent 2011 real GDP-growth turned out to be disappointing because of a weak performance in tourism, banking and construction sectors. But so far Lebanon’s financial sector seems not to be seriously affected by the unrest in Syria (in spite of some capital flight from the country). Inflation is driven by price fluctuations in food and oil that have to be imported: in 2011 nearly 5%. Solid banking sector but with a very high exposure to the public sector. Unfavourable TI-corruption index: 127 out of 178.
External Economic Situation
Solid Liquidity, Weak Solvency
Main sources of foreign exchange
Exports of precious stones and jewellery (31%), machinery (18%). Private transfers of expats, official Arab support, tourism.
Main foreign markets
Syria (26%), UAE (13%), Switzerland (6%), Saudi Arabia (5%).
Main expenses of foreign exchange
Imports of mineral products (21%) and capital goods (20%).
Balance of payments
The very high current account deficits are being financed by capital inflows (direct investments from other Arab countries, inflow of non-resident deposits), only part of it officially recorded. Currency peg to be continued.